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The Eight Percent Problem: Why NATO's Real Danger Isn't Withdrawal
The Polymarket odds of US NATO withdrawal sit at just 8% — but the reported decision to withhold forces during major crises is a more immediate and corrosive form of alliance erosion that markets haven't begun to price in.
Wire provenance
This editorial synthesis draws on the following public wire/social posts:
- https://x.com/polymarket/status/2056163212916137984
© 2026 Monexus Media · reported from the wire