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The market is betting on AI. Everyone else is asking for a refund.
Polymarket odds suggest investors have priced artificial intelligence as a near-certain winner. The same prediction markets give only a 23% chance Google has the best model by June. That gap tells a story the bulls would rather not read.
Desk note: Wire coverage of the Google "disregard" incident led with user-experience framing; Monexus framed it against the Polymarket market-implication data, treating the pricing odds as primary evidence of how investors vs users processed the same event.
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