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Ballistic salvos and a 33% peace price: what the past 12 hours of the US-Iran war say about the next twelve
Iran fired ballistic missiles from Khorramabad in the early hours of 11 June 2026, hours after Tehran said a US strike knocked out water for 20,000 people — and as prediction markets put the odds of a ceasefire this month at 33%.
Wire provenance
This editorial synthesis draws on the following public wire/social posts:
- https://t.me/AMK_Mapping
- https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator
- https://x.com/polymarket/status/2039000000000000001
- https://x.com/unusual_whales/status/2039000000000000002
- https://x.com/polymarket/status/2039000000000000003
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